La nueva era de las naciones

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Publicado en La Vanguardia

A principios de agosto de 1941 el USS Augusta navegaba por la bahía de Plasencia, en Terranova (Canadá). A bordo, dos ilustres pasajeros: Winston Churchill y Franklin D. iphone 6 layer case Roosevelt. iphone 7 phone case Dos meses antes, Hitler había invadido la URSS y Josef Stalin era ahora aliado de Occidente. Gran Bretaña llevaba dos años en guerra con Alemania, pero EE.UU. se resistía a combatir a su lado, una reticencia que no se venció hasta el ataque japonés a Pearl Harbor en diciembre de aquel mismo 1941.

Churchill y Roosevelt no podían saber, embarcados en el Augusta, cuánto duraría la guerra, pero tenían muy claro que, una vez alcanzada la paz, el mundo necesitaría un nuevo sistema para que las naciones prosperaban.

Tres principios regirían este nuevo orden: la autodeterminación de las naciones –cada pueblo debería ser capaz de establecerse como Estado y elegir su forma de gobierno–, el libre comercio y la seguridad colectiva. iphone 8 case pattern Estas ideas se recogieron en un documento, la Carta del Atlántico, que el 1 de enero de 1942 se incorporó a la Declaración de las Naciones Unidas. Fueron también la base de la conferencia de Yalta (febrero de 1945), donde EE.UU. Gran Bretaña y la URSS pactaron la reconstrucción de las naciones europeas tras la derrota del Tercer Reich.

Roosevelt murió en abril de 1945 –dos meses después de Yalta– soñando en que el tío Joe Stalin se incorporaría al proyecto de Naciones Unidas, a una pax mundi anti imperialista. Stalin, sin embargo, tenía otros planes y las naciones del Este de Europa nunca tuvieron la oportunidad de formar repúblicas democráticas. El territorio alemán se dividió en dos estados en 1949, el mismo año que se creó la OTAN y quedó izado el telón de acero. La consiguiente guerra fría entre EE.UU. y la URSS condicionó el desarrollo de casi todos los países del mundo. Estados que eran inviables, con fronteras artificiales y economías de papel, recibían toda la ayuda que hiciera falta de Washington y Moscú.

Las dos potencias mantenían una relación hostil pero controlada. charging iphone 6 plus case El equilibrio nuclear aseguraba la destrucción mutua en caso de conflicto.

Mijail Gorbachev se hizo con el control de la URSS en 1985. Entonces eran muy pocos los que aún creían en la economía dirigida y centralizada. La reforma económica y la política de transparencia abrió el espacio para la libertad de expresión. Afloraron entonces los sentimientos nacionales y religiosos en el Este de Europa y no hubo vuelta atrás. El muro de Berlín cayó en 1989 y en Occidente se habló de universalismo y multiculturalismo, un fin de la historia, basado, claro está, en los valores de Occidente. Durante unos años parecía que la pax mundi de Roosevelt sería una realidad. El comercio floreció y la democracia amplió sus fronteras.

La paz y la prosperidad, sin embargo, no impidieron que surgieran nuevas guerras de étnia y religión en lugares tan dispares como Iraq, Ruanda y los Balcanes. Elites nacionalistas, cortas de mira, centradas en políticas de ambición y no en el genuino interés de sus pueblos –intereses económicos y sociales definidos democráticamente– impusieron la identidad como principio ineludible. iphone 7 yellow phone cases La cuestión ya no era en qué bando estabas sino quién eras.

El auge del nacionalismo en un mundo global –más difícil de gestionar hoy que hace 20 años– reduce el espacio ­común para alcanzar acuerdos. Hoy nadie se atreve a exportar la democracia. iphone 6 3d cases disney Es la mejor garantía para provocar una guerra. Miren a Ucrania, Siria, Libia, Iraq, Somalia, Yemen y Afganistán.

La autodeterminación de las naciones no funcionó en Europa después de la Segunda Guerra Mundial y no ha funcionado en Oriente Medio después de las primaveras árabes.

No hay fuerza política suficiente en el mundo –ya sea a través de alianzas entre países o de organismos internacionales como la ONU y la UE– para frenar la barbarie e imponer la colaboración. Lo vemos en Siria, pero también en el corazón de una Europa que se fragmenta bajo el peso de los refugiados y el auge de gobiernos populistas de tintes fascistas en Hungría y Polonia.

El mejor antídoto contra la tentación del totalitarismo es el crecimiento económico pero la economía europea no levanta cabeza. Los mercados financieros castigan a los bancos que pierden valor a pasos agigantados.

Moscú y Washington recuperan la dinámica de la guerra fría en Europa oriental. La OTAN, con la ayuda económica de EE.UU., dispondrá allí de 82.000 hombres en armas, brigadas móviles, que provocarán una respuesta del Kremlin. El equilibrio de la seguridad en Europa, el que parecía garantizado después del colapso de la URSS en 1992, ha saltado por los aires. La prueba es Ucrania.

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Hay que recuperar cuanto antes el crucero de Churchill y Roosevelt por la bahía de Plasencia. Invitar a Putin y al próximo presidente de EE.UU., siempre, claro, que no sea un filofascista como Trump o Cruz. Lo malo es que Putin se sentiría más a gusto con ellos que con Clinton o Sanders. El Kremlin siempre prefiere a un republicano en la Casa Blanca.

Sea como sea, hay que rehacer los pilares del mundo porque el principio del siglo XXI se parece cada vez más al principio del siglo XX. iphone 8 apple case pastel Rusia, la UE, EE.UU. y China deben liderar la utopía. La ONU debe ser el escenario.

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